![]() QB Aaron Rodgers ended up with a passer rating of 128.80. No one had a standout game offensively for Green Bay, but they got scores from TE Marcedes Lewis and WR Allen Lazard. Green Bay didn't finish too far behind, but the squad still lost 27-22 to the New York Giants. The point spread favored Green Bay this past Sunday, but luck did not. If the matchup is anything like the Packers' 44-38 win from their previous meeting in December of 2018, the scorekeeper will be kept real busy. The Green Bay Packers' homestand continues as they prepare to take on the New York Jets at 1 p.m. Tennessee has been extremely friendly to opposing offenses on deep passes this season, ranking 32nd in DVOA and allowing 29 completions on 56 attempts of 16 or more air yards, with those throws resulting in 966 yards (most in the NFL) and five touchdowns.Current Records: New York 3-2 Green Bay 3-2 What to Know Those potential absences will surely affect Rodgers' protection as well, and dictate how much time he has to target receivers downfield. Injuries in the trenches could play a role in this run-game battle, as Bud Dupree is out and Jeffery Simmons is questionable for the Titans, while David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins are each questionable for Green Bay. The Titans have also been somewhat vulnerable to passes to opposing running backs, yielding 65 catches (third-most in the NFL) for 388 yards (eighth-most) and three touchdowns (tied for third-most) on throws to players out of the backfield. Jones is 10th in the league in yards after contact per carry and fifth in avoided-tackle rate, per Tru Media, so if anybody is going to break one against Tennessee, it might be him. Opponents have averaged 3.19 yards after contact per rush against Tennessee - sixth-most in the NFL. If you can break through that first tackle, though, they are yards to be gained. They've done their best work limiting yards before first contact, as opponents have gained only 0.79 yards before contact per carry they're the only team in the league making contact with ball-carriers before opponents gain a single yard. They're first in run defense DVOA at Football Outsiders and first in EPA allowed per rush attempt, according to Tru Media. The Titans rank second in the NFL in rushing yards allowed and third in yards allowed per carry. ![]() The bad news is the Titans have one of the NFL's best run defenses. There's good news and bad news for the Packers when it comes to this type of attack against Tennessee. All three of Christian Watson's long touchdowns saw him simply run directly past one of Dallas' non-Trevon Diggs corners (one each against Anthony Brown, Da'Ron Bland, and Kelvin Joseph) as Rodgers led him into open space with the pass. Dillon (13 carries for 65 yards) and having Aaron Rodgers essentially throw only targeted deep shots against the Cowboys' weakest cornerbacks. The strategy involved giving the ball to Aaron Jones over and over again (his 24 carries were one shy of a career-high) with great success (138 yards and a touchdown), spelling him with A.J. The Packers finally seemed to find a good offensive groove last week against the Cowboys. He didn't do much with it but the talent is there for him to make some big plays - especially against a Green Bay secondary dealing with multiple injuries. Treylon Burks returned to the fold last week as well, and immediately assumed a sizable role. He was just 19 of 36 for 255 yards against the Broncos, with one of his two touchdowns coming on a flea-flicker where Nick Westbrook-Ikhine was completely uncovered. Tannehill wasn't particularly steady in his return to the lineup last week, but some of that surely had to do with going up against arguably the best pass defense in the NFL. It would be a pretty big upset if the Packers held him in check, and put undue pressure on Ryan Tannehill and the passing attack. In other words, this all seems to be setting up quite well for one of those monster Derrick Henry games where he has 30 carries for close to 200 yards and a couple scores. You can run on them pretty much anywhere: They're 24th in Adjusted Line Yards against on runs to the left end, 22nd in runs off left tackle, 27th in runs up the middle, 29th in runs off right tackle, and 26th in runs off right end. The Packers rank 30th in run defense DVOA and 32nd in opponent's Adjusted Line Yards at Football Outsiders, as well as 27th in yards before contact per carry and 25th in opponent's explosive run rate, according to Tru Media. ![]() Green Bay often invites opponents to run the ball with its alignment up front, and it is extremely unsuccessful in stopping those runs. ![]() The Packers provide a very friendly opponent for this type of strategy. We know exactly what's coming on this side of the ball: A heavy dose of Derrick Henry, early and often, and the occasional play-action fake to set up an intermediate-range throw.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |